Monday, January 12, 2009

EKONOMI SURAM: JANGAN PANIK?

Ketua Jabatan Ekonomi London School of Economics and Political Science, Profesor Danny Quah, meminta pemimpin dan rakyat Malaysia “jangan panik” kerana “dunia belum kiamat” dan “Asia dijangka tidak mengalami kemelesetan drastik walaupun terdapat jangkaan akan menerima tempias krisis kewangan di Amerika Syarikat.”

Ekonomi Malaysia Mampu Pulih Dalam Tempoh Enam Bulan

KUALA LUMPUR, 10 Jan (Bernama) -- Ekonomi Malaysia mampu pulih daripada kelembapan semasa dalam tempoh antara tiga dan enam bulan, menerusi sokongan kerajaan serta dasar yang kukuh.

Ketua Jabatan Ekonomi London School of Economics and Political Science, Profesor Danny Quah berkata Timbalan Perdana Menteri Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak mempunyai keupayaan untuk membawa Malaysia ke tahap pembangunan ekonomi selanjutnya.

"Kerajaan tidak wajar terlalu memberi penekanan terhadap defisit bajet, sebaliknya memberi tumpuan terhadap malaksanakan dasar-dasar yang mampu meningkatkan daya saingan negara bagi menampung pertumbuhan dan pergerakan ekonomi," kata Quah pada ceramah Persatuan Alumni London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) Malaysia.

Meskipun unjuran ekonomi global yang suram, Quah memberi mesej jaminan yang kukuh.

"Jangan panik. Dunia belum kiamat. Asia dijangka tidak mengalami kemelesetan drastik walaupun terdapat jangkaan akan menerima tempias krisis kewangan di Amerika Syarikat," kata Quah. – BERNAMA

http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v5/bm/newsbusiness.php?id=382775

Apa yang diramalkan oleh Quah mungkin benar. Tetapi, kerajaan Malaysia wajar meramalkan keadaan yang eksrim, yang terburuk. Indikator kesuraman ekonomi dunia berada di depan mata kita. Jadi, jangan terlalu bergantung kepada ramalan seperti ini. – Ruhanie Ahmad

3 comments:

Mika Angel-0 said...

Puteramaya
Salaam Siber!

Kampung Terakhir Di Temasek
(jangan panik pencuri datang pergi)

Dunia belum kiamat...
tetapi kiamat kecil selalu berlaku
setiap waktu solat subuh ke isya
langit belum pasti hancur runtuh
itu pesanan si-lebai malang
dan nasihat tok-tok guru

Dunia belum kiamat...
kita setuju kenyataan pak menteri
profesur tau-tau tionghua jatidiri maupun prof melayu tau-tau mandari
tiada disangkal walau sebutir
dan bukan rasis diri keras kepala
di bawah langit bumi melayu

Dunia belum kiamat...
dan pasti disoal berkali-kali
teori megah pendakwah edik
atau kemerapuan talibarut cerdik
bilamana Barack Hussein egah
menjanjikan kerja bagi empat juta
dizaman orang sudah separuh buta
kepada kekejaman dunia barat angkuh
sihir kemajuan kapitalis pemakan riba

Dunia belum kiamat...
janjinya cendiakawan ekonomis
uang boleh dicetak bak cendawan
tumbuh bebiliun di tanah Zimbabwae
dan angka-angka dipermain-mainkan
saperti angkara Satyam hey!
dan biar deficit belanjawan
hingga kepala negara mencecah awan mengelamun prof bukan mustahil

Ya, dunia belum kiamat...
tetapi lantai bumbung bergegar
kelam kabut di Gaza disambar ribut
petir peluru bagai nak rak durjana riuh meriam memuntahkan api
enap tiong murai tercabut ekor
mengenap-enap yang ganjil dan genap
nyawa-nyawa suci dibawa pergi

Dunia belum kiamat...
hanya tamaddun hidup yang lebur

Mika Angel-0 said...

Prince!


Ref No: 01/09/02

Embargo: Not for publication or broadcast before 1700 hours on Wednesday, 7 January 2009

International Reserves of BNM as at 31 December 2008

The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to RM316.8 billion (equivalent to USD91.4 billion) as at 31 December 2008. The reserves level as at 31 December 2008 has taken into account the quarterly adjustment of the foreign exchange revaluation loss, following the strengthening of the ringgit against some of the major currencies during the quarter. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 7.4 months of retained imports and is 3.3 times the short-term external debt.

For the year 2008 as a whole, the international reserves moderated by RM18.9 billion. During the first six months of the year, the reserves increased by RM75.2 billion to RM410.9 billion as at end-June, due mainly to higher repatriation of export earnings, large inflows of short-term portfolio capital as well as foreign direct investment. Subsequently, the reserves declined by RM94 billion in the second half of the year, due mainly to the reversal of the short-term portfolio capital flows as a result of the de-leveraging process by foreign investors following the global financial crisis. Nevertheless, the short-term capital outflows, which peaked in October, have shown signs of subsiding.

During the year, the cumulative foreign exchange revaluation loss amounted to RM5.8 billion, reflecting the strengthening of the ringgit against major currencies, particularly in the first and fourth quarters of 2008.

Malaysia's international reserves, which are usable and unencumbered, are expected to remain at a comfortably high level in 2009. The level of reserves would be supported by the continued trade surplus given Malaysia's diversified export markets and products as well as inflow of foreign direct investment.

See also: BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities as at 31 December 2008

Bank Negara Malaysia
7 January 2009

puteramaya said...

Bung Mika

Jutaan terima kasih. Memang dunia belum kiamat kerana kiamat adalah ketentuan Allah SWT. Tapi, elok juga kita bersiapsiaga terhadap segala kemungkinan yang akan wujud daripada krisis ekonomi global mutakhir ini.

Salam takzim - Ruhanie Ahmad